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Hedging

Placing a bet on the opposite side of an existing wager to guarantee profit or minimize loss.

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Hedging involves betting against your original position to lock in a guaranteed profit or limit potential losses. It's most common with futures bets or parlays when you're one leg away from a big payout.

The decision to hedge is ultimately a risk management choice. Mathematically, if your original bet still has positive expected value, hedging reduces your EV. But it also reduces your variance, which can be worth it for large sums.

A useful framework: if the potential loss from not hedging would significantly impact your bankroll or lifestyle, hedging is a smart move regardless of the math. Protecting your bankroll is always priority number one.

Example

You have a $100 futures bet on the Eagles at +2000 to win the Super Bowl. They make the Super Bowl. You can hedge by betting the opponent to guarantee profit either way.