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Variance

The measure of how much results deviate from the expected outcome in the short term.

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Variance (often called volatility in casino contexts) measures the swings in your results. A high-variance game produces bigger wins and bigger losses, while a low-variance game produces more consistent, smaller results.

Understanding variance is critical for bankroll management. Even with a positive expected value, high variance can wipe out your bankroll before the long-term math works in your favor. This is why professional gamblers size their bets carefully relative to their bankroll.

In slot machines, variance determines how frequently you win and how large the payouts are. High-variance slots pay out less often but with larger amounts. Low-variance slots pay out more frequently but in smaller amounts.