Side-by-side comparison of Metaculus and ProphetX. Use the table below to compare risk, availability, product depth, and practical tradeoffs.
Metaculus grades better on the weighted mix of trust score, payout reliability, bonus posture, and regional reach. ProphetX can still be the better fit if one of its specific strengths matters more to you than the overall balance.
Science and tech forecasting platform. Reputation-based. Used by researchers. No real money. CFTC-exempt.
ProphetX runs a peer-to-peer prediction exchange with sweepstakes-style access for US users.
We do not have a full editorial narrative for this pair in the current locale, so this page falls back to the structured comparison data and verdict instead of pretending there is a custom write-up.
Use this section when the overall verdict is close or when one specific factor matters more than the aggregate score.
Metaculus
4.7/5ProphetX
3.9/5Metaculus
87/100ProphetX
70/100Metaculus
VerifiedProphetX
VerifiedMetaculus
None foundProphetX
None foundMetaculus
2026-04-08ProphetX
2026-04-17Metaculus
Free (reputation-based)ProphetX
Metaculus
Prediction marketsProphetX
Prediction marketsMetaculus
SOCIALProphetX
SOCIALMetaculus
ProphetX
Metaculus
Metaculus IncProphetX
Metaculus
ProphetX
Metaculus
ProphetX
Metaculus
ProphetX
Metaculus
ProphetX
Metaculus
ProphetX
Metaculus
ProphetX
Metaculus
{"regulator":"None (Academic Exemption)","type":"Social / Play-Money","status":"Active","details":"Non-profit academic platform; no real money; CFTC-exempt due to educational use; no securities/commodities regulation required"}ProphetX
Metaculus
51ProphetX
64Metaculus
1 methodsProphetX
| Feature | Metaculus | ProphetX |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 4.7/5 | 3.9/5 |
| Trust Score | 87/100 | 70/100 |
| Review Coverage | Verified | Verified |
| Bonus Coverage | None found | None found |
| Last Fact-check | 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-17 |
| Signup Bonus | Free (reputation-based) | |
| Market | Prediction markets | Prediction markets |
| Regulatory Type | SOCIAL | SOCIAL |
| Founded | ||
| Parent Company | Metaculus Inc | |
| Min Deposit | ||
| Min Withdrawal | ||
| Withdrawal Speed | ||
| Mobile App | ||
| Live Chat | ||
| Bonus Codes | ||
| License | {"regulator":"None (Academic Exemption)","type":"Social / Play-Money","status":"Active","details":"Non-profit academic platform; no real money; CFTC-exempt due to educational use; no securities/commodities regulation required"} | |
| Regions available | 51 | 64 |
| Payment Methods | 1 methods |
Pros
Cons
Pros
Cons
Metaculus has the stronger overall comparison profile in this view, but ProphetX can still be the better choice if its specific strengths fit your priorities better.
Bonus value for Metaculus and ProphetX depends on the actual offer structure, not just the headline. Compare linked details and operator terms before treating one offer as clearly better.
Metaculus is currently modeled in 51 regions, while ProphetX is modeled in 64. Availability can change quickly, so treat this as a discovery-layer snapshot and verify eligibility on the operator before signing up.
